Thursday, April 25, 2013

Sport/Life Power Rankings - Chilean Primera Division, Round 1

I am creating a "power ranking". I want to be able to use it for different sports in different countries, but I'm starting with the Chilean football.

In here, I will write about the process. I've been thinking a while about the IFFHS or whatever they are rankings and you don't get to see too much into how they are actually done.

I have decided to begin with the Primera A and B - using the 2012 Annual table for each as a basis - this means Huachipato were not rewarded for winning the comp in 2012, moreso their average form. Puerto Montt were replaced with Copiapó - the relegation battles were also not taken into account.

The basic concept of the power ranking is your last game could lead to huge jumps in the ranking - if you beat someone well above, you take their place. The overall ranking is calculated by your total points (less points the better - first is one point, worst in the B is 32 points).

Round 1 (from Soccerway)

Primera Division

Fri25/01/13Rangers1 - 1Audax ItalianoView eventsMore info
Huachipato0 - 0San MarcosView eventsMore info
Sat26/01/13Unión La Calera2 - 1AntofagastaView eventsMore info
Ñublense1 - 1EvertonView eventsMore info
Deportes Iquique0 - 0PalestinoView eventsMore info
Sun27/01/13Cobreloa5 - 2Colo ColoView eventsMore info
Cobresal1 - 2Unión EspañolaView eventsMore info
O'Higgins0 - 1Universidad Ca…View eventsMore info
Wed27/02/13Santiago Wanderers2 - 1Universidad ChileView eventsMore info
* Matches were or will be played in the past/next 3 days.

Primera B

Sat09/02/13Unión Temuco0 - 2Univ. ConcepciónView eventsMore info
Coquimbo Unido3 - 1Unión San FelipeView eventsMore info
Sun10/02/13San Luis0 - 1CopiapóView eventsMore info
Magallanes3 - 2La SerenaView eventsMore info
Lota Schwager0 - 1NavalView eventsMore info
Mon11/02/13Barnechea1 - 2Curicó UnidoView eventsMore info
* Matches were or will be played in the past/next 3 days.


Some notes to begin. The U de Chile vs Wanderers match was rescheduled - La U's loss sees them have a huge drop in the power rankings. None of the top 4 teams from the table had victory. Wanderers had a big boost in the rankings. Católica were boosted an extra place due to losses above, while Colo Colo dropped one place.

Everton and Ñublense had a draw. My current plan is to cut the difference between the two sides, then the away team goes higher. These chaotic results have some troubles with that, particular the large amount of draws.

The key complications were the draw between San Marcos de Arica and Huachipato as well as the losses for Colo Colo and Universidad de Chile. 

The large change with Arica saw a big shift in the number with some benefits for teams in the middle of the table. The Primera B teams were straightforward, with easier results to calculate. Teams beating the relegated teams were the biggest winners.


Round 1 Power Rankings

Santiago Wanderers
Cobreloa
Universidad Católica
Palestino
Iquique
Unión Española
O'Higgins
Unión La Calera
Audax Italiano
Rangers
Universidad de Chile
Colo-Colo
San Marcos de Arica 
Huachipato
Antofagasta
Universidad de Concepción
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
Magallanes
Curicó Unido
Ñublense 
Everton 
Deportes Concepción
Deportes Copiapó
Naval
Unión San Felipe
Unión Temuco
Santiago Morning
La Serena
Barnechea FC
Lota Schwager
San Luis
I am not sure if I should include the original ranking (ie the place at end of 2012) in the calculations. I guess I can calculate both and figure it out. I am trying to figure out a way to automate all this for taking it to other sports, but haven't got to that yet. This is the first round so I will see how it goes over the next rounds.

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